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Rotich: Moody’s possible downgrade is ‘desk analysis’

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Treasury Cabinet Secretary Henry Rotich ro present budget next week.
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The National Treasury Cabinet Secretary Henry Rotich has dismissed ratings agency Moody’s possible downgrade of the country’s credit scores over rising debt.

The global rating agency last month said it was looking at cutting Kenya’s credit rating from B1 due to persistent deficits as high borrowing costs continue to push its indebtedness higher, among other factors.

Rotich now says that the country only has a contract with Standard & Poor’s (S&P) and Fitch to periodically gather data from Treasury.

“Moody’s is just doing freelance rating. We only have two ratings that we’ve contracted so far,” he told journalists at a breakfast meeting on Thursday morning as he termed the agency’s rating as “desk analysis”.

The government has struggled to contain its expenses and meet revenue targets due to drought earlier this year and a politically charged environment that has taken it off its policy track.

A Budget Review and Outlook Paper (BROP) released in September showed that the level of public debt to GDP ratio was expected to rise to 59%, from a previous target of 51.8%.

READ: Odindo to stay at Standard until next year

It also showed that the country’s fiscal deficit target had been revised to 7.9% in the 2017/18 fiscal year from 6.2%, after revenue collection fell 3.7% short of target.

Mr Rotich said tax exemptions given to importers of food such as maize and sugar in the first half of this year to help mitigate the effects of a severe drought that had ravaged the region contributed to a Sh.40 billion short fall in revenue.

“Some of the custom duty revenues have gone down because of this exemptions on food imports to deal with the drought,” he said, adding that most of these tax breaks were coming to an end as good rainfall in the second half had helped improve food supply locally.

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