Life expectancy is growing in Kenya but the country continues to struggle with communicable d******s like HIV and diarrhea, as well as neonatal ailments that k**l infants, a new study has revealed.

Globally, countries have saved more lives over the past decade, especially among children under age 5, but persistent health problems, such as obesity, conflict, and mental illness, comprise a “triad of troubles,” and prevent people from living long, healthy lives, according to a new scientific study.

“Life expectancy in Kenya is growing rapidly, but communicable d******s like HIV, diarrhea, and lower respiratory infection are still taking the lives of far too many Kenyans. Children are at particular risk, and neonatal ailments like sepsis, pre-term birth, and encephalopathy k**l thousands of infants. We have a lot of work to do,” said Dr Elizabeth Wangia, a statistician at the ministry of Health and a co-author of the study.

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This year’s version of the annual Global Burden of D*****e Study (GBD) is composed of five peer-reviewed papers, an was published today in the international medical journal The Lancet.  The five papers provide in-depth analyses of life expectancy and mortality, causes of d***h, overall d*****e burden, years lived with disability, and risk factors that lead to health loss.

Main findings

The study’s main findings for Kenya include:

  • A Kenyan man born in 2016 can expect to live 64.7 years, an increase in life expectancy of 7.7 years over the past decade. A woman has a life expectancy of 69 years, up 9.1 years from 2006.
  • But illness and i******s take away years of healthy life. A Kenyan male born in 2016 will live approximately 56.9 years in good health; a female 60.3 years.
  • The top five causes of premature d***h in Kenya are HIV, diarrhea, lower respiratory infection, neonatal encephalopathy, and neonatal preterm birth. The ailments that cause illness can be very different. Back pain, iron-deficiency anemia, and hearing loss are the top causes of years that people live with disability in Kenya.
  • D****s of children under 5 are a persistent health challenge. For every 1,000 live births, 43.4 Kenyan children under the age of 5 d*e. That exceeds the global figure of 38.4, but is lower than in other East African countries like Tanzania and Uganda.

Moreover, in 2016, for the first time in modern history, fewer than 5 million children under age 5 d**d in one year, as compared to 1990 when 11 million d**d.

Declining fertility levels

Researchers attribute this global health landmark to improvements in increased educational levels of mothers, rising per capita incomes, declining levels of fertility, increased vaccination programs, mass distribution of insecticide-treated bed nets, improved water and sanitation, and a wide array of other health programmes funded by development funding for health.

“D***h is a powerful motivator, both for individuals and for countries, to address d******s that have been k*****g us at high rates,” said Dr Christopher Murray, Director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.

“But, we’re been much less motivated to address issues leading to illnesses. A ‘triad of troubles’ – obesity, conflict, and mental illness, including substance use disorders – poses a stubborn and persistent barrier to active and vigorous lifestyle.”

Visualisations have been created from which to compare and contrast data among nations and by health conditions. Despite progress on reducing d****s, this “triad of troubles” – obesity, conflict, and mental illness, including substance use disorders – is preventing further progress.

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One of the most alarming risks in the GBD is excess body weight. The rate of illness related to people being too heavy is rising quickly, and the d*****e burden can be found in all sociodemographic levels. High b*************x (BMI) is the fourth largest contributor to the loss of healthy life, after high b***d pressure, s*****g, and high b***d sugar.

It also emerged that d****s over the past decade due to conflict and t*******m more than doubled. Recent conflicts, such as those in Syria, Yemen, South Sudan, and Libya, are major public health threats, both in regard to c********s and because they lead to long-term physical and mental consequences.

At the same time, mental illness and substance use disorders continued to contribute substantially to the loss of healthy life in 2016, affecting all countries regardless of their socioeconomic status. Treatment rates for mental and substance use disorders remain low. Even in high-income countries where treatment coverage has increased, the prevalence of the most common disorders has not changed.

The GBD is the largest and most comprehensive epidemiological effort to quantify health loss across places and over time. It draws on the work of over 2,500 collaborators from more than 130 countries and territories. IHME coordinates the study. This year, more than 13 billion data points are included; the papers comprise a complete edition of The Lancet.

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Poor diet

This year’s GBD improves upon the previous annual update through new data, improvements in methodology, and a measure for tracking completeness of vital registration information.

The study’s other findings include:

  • Poor diet is associated with 1 in 5 d****s globally.
  • Non-communicable d******s were responsible for 72% of all d****s worldwide in 2016, in contrast to 58% in 1990. Within the past decade, diabetes rose in rank order from 17th to 9th  leading cause of d***h in low-middle income countries.
  • T*****o is linked to 7.1 million d****s, and in more than 100 countries, s*****g was among the leading risk factors for loss of healthy life.
  • The leading causes of premature d***h globally included: ischemic heart d*****e, stroke, lower respiratory i********s, diarrhea-related d******s, and road i******s. Ischemic heart d*****e was the leading cause of premature d***h for men in 113 countries and for women in 97 countries.
  • Only four of the leading 20 causes of disability in 2016 – stroke, COPD, diabetes, and falls –were also leading causes of d***h.

In addition, the top conditions in 2016 that made people s**k, but were not necessarily f***l were: low back pain, migraine headaches, hearing loss, iron-deficiency anemia, and major depressive disorders.


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